Yerevan, 13.February.2026,
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BREAKING


Как изменится политика РФ на Южном Кавказе после изменения обстановки в Украине? Мнение Искандаряна

ANALYSIS



Изменение обстановки в Украине изменит ситуацию на Южном Кавказе, Россия, которая будет чувствовать себя победившей и не должна будет тратить такие огромные силы для войны в Украине, будет вести себя по-другому. Об этом в беседе с корреспондентом Новости Армении–NEWS.am заявил политолог Александр Искандарян.

«Однако я не думаю, что Россия будет отвоевывать прежние позиции в постсоветском пространстве, в частности, на Южном  Кавказе. Я думаю, что это просто уже невозможно. Изменение в политике России будет, она будет ситуативной, но оно вряд ли революционной.

Войти в одну и ту же реку дважды невозможно. Будут изменения, но они не могут быть очень кардинальными», - отметил Искандарян.

По его словам, в конфигурации Армении и Азербайджана уже некуда возвращаться.

«Тех  инструментов, путем которых в России влияла на эти страны, их просто не существует. Таким инструментом был между Армении и Азербайджаном и наличие Нагорного Карабаха. Для России, чтобы влиять на Армению, нужен был Азербайджан, а чтобы влиять Азербайджан, нужна была Армения. А между находилась НКР, которая такую ситуацию создавала. Этого всего уже нет. Поэтому представить себе возвращение сложно», - заключил Искандарян.

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